Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab model makes Gubbio the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,781) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,796).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gubbio(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Grosseto(away) | 3-2 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Athletic Carpi(home) | 2-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ascoli(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Juventus U23(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gubbio win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gubbio 0-2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Gubbio 1-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Gubbio on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 20th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab model makes Gubbio the favourite at 34%, against 32% for a draw and 34% for Guidonia Montecelio 1937.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.