Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 20Kick-off on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Gubbio. The most likely score is 1-1. If Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,614 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,777) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 (1,824).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gubbio
4-3-3- 7M. Spina
- 73T. Ghirardello
- 77A. Minta
- 67F. Carraro
- 8G. Rosaia
- 17N. Fazzi
- 4L. Baroncelli
- 34F. Zallu
- 70M. Ferrini
- 27L. Podda
- 22L. Marson
Guidonia Montecelio 1937
4-3-3- 30F. Ferrari
- 9E. Vertainen
- 73A. Falleni
- 4E. Celeghin
- 23A. Murgia
- 10A. Spavone
- 2S. Esempio
- 26R. Baroni
- 33D. Borghini
- 11O. Viteritti
- 25G. Drago
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 08:10 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 0-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Atalanta II(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Spezia(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Perugia(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Torres(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Forli(home) | 3-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 12, 2026 | Pescara(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Pineto(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gubbio wins, 0 draws, 2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 3-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 1, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 0-1 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Gubbio 0-2 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jul 30, 2017 | Gubbio 1-0 Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | Coppa Italia |
Last archived meeting: Guidonia Montecelio 1937 vs Gubbio on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Guidonia Montecelio 1937 score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 19th in Serie C - Girone B (8 points from 12 matches) and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit 9th (17 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guidonia Montecelio 1937 the favourite at 35%, against 31% for a draw and 34% for Gubbio.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 played?
- Gubbio vs Guidonia Montecelio 1937 is played on January 3, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.