Gubbio vs Pescara: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 24Kick-off on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Pietro Barbetti, Gubbio
The Footlab model makes Gubbio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pescara. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gubbio vs Pescara?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Gubbio (1,781) and Pescara (1,798).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gubbio have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Pescara have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guidonia Montecelio 1937(away) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 2-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Sporting Trestina(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Fiorentina(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Pineto(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sambenedettese(home) | 0-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 8, 2026 | Spezia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
| May 1, 2026 | Padova(away) | 0-1 | Serie B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Juve Stabia(home) | 1-1 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gubbio win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Pescara win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2025 | Pescara 2-0 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Gubbio 1-2 Pescara | Serie C - Girone B |
| Feb 9, 2024 | Gubbio 4-0 Pescara | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 2, 2023 | Pescara 3-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone B |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Pescara 0-1 Gubbio | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 4, 2022 | Pescara 2-2 Gubbio | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Gubbio score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pescara score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Pescara | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gubbio sit 20th in Serie C - Girone B (0 points from 1 matches) and Pescara sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pescara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Gubbio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gubbio vs Pescara?
- The Footlab model makes Gubbio the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Pescara.
- Where and when is Gubbio vs Pescara played?
- Gubbio vs Pescara is played on January 31, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Pietro Barbetti, in the Serie C - Girone B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.