Guimaraes vs Arouca: result 1-1 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2025 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Guimaraes and Arouca drew 1-1 on August 30, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 31′GustavoGuimaraes
- 34′N. DjouahraArouca
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Moreirense(away) | 0-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Estoril(home) | 3-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 11, 2025 | FC Porto(away) | 0-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Chaves(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Celta Vigo(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2025 | Rio Ave(home) | 3-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sporting CP(away) | 0-6 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 9, 2025 | AVS(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Guimaraes win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2025 | Guimaraes 2-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Aug 12, 2024 | Arouca 0-1 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| May 18, 2024 | Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Guimaraes 2-1 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 11, 2023 | Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Arouca 2-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 1.4 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
| Arouca | 1.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 17th in Primeira Liga (0 points from 2 matches) and Arouca sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy