Guimaraes vs Arouca: result 1-0 and analysis
Primeira LigaRegular Season - 27Kick-off on April 3, 2015 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
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What was the result of Guimaraes vs Arouca?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on April 3, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 56′MorenoGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Arouca have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | Sporting CP(away) | 1-4 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 14, 2015 | Vitoria Setubal(home) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Boavista(away) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 27, 2015 | Maritimo(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 20, 2015 | Pacos Ferreira(away) | 2-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2015 | GIL Vicente(home) | 3-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 15, 2015 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 8, 2015 | Benfica(home) | 1-3 | Primeira Liga |
| Mar 1, 2015 | Academica(away) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Feb 22, 2015 | Rio Ave(home) | 1-0 | Primeira Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Guimaraes win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Arouca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2014 | Arouca 1-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
| Apr 17, 2014 | Guimaraes 2-3 Arouca | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 15, 2013 | Arouca 0-2 Guimaraes | Primeira Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Arouca score 0.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Arouca | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guimaraes sit 9th in Primeira Liga (3 points from 3 matches) and Arouca sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy