Guimaraes vs Vilafranquense: result 1-0 and analysis
Taça de Portugal8th FinalsKick-off on December 15, 2016 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimarães
Full time
What was the result of Guimaraes vs Vilafranquense?
Guimaraes won 1-0 on December 15, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 61′P. HurtadoGuimaraes
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guimaraes have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Vilafranquense have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Dec 4, 2016 | Chaves(home) | 1-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 27, 2016 | Tondela(away) | 1-2 | Primeira Liga |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Boavista(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Nov 4, 2016 | Nacional(home) | 2-1 | Primeira Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2016 | Pacos Ferreira(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 16, 2016 | Vitória de Sernache(away) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 25, 2016 | Vilaverdense(home) | 1-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 4, 2016 | Loures(away) | 1-2 | Taça de Portugal |
How many goals should we expect?
Guimaraes score 1.8 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Vilafranquense score 1.0 and concede 0.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes | 1.8 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Vilafranquense | 1.0 | 0.5 | 3 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy