Guinea vs Nigeria: result 1-0 and analysis
African Nations ChampionshipGroup Stage - 3Kick-off on January 26, 2016 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
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What was the result of Guinea vs Nigeria?
Guinea won 1-0 on January 26, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 45′I. SankhonGuinea
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 4 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Nigeria have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | Niger(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2016 | Tunisia(away) | 2-2 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 15, 2015 | Namibia(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 12, 2015 | Namibia(away) | 1-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2016 | Tunisia(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 18, 2016 | Niger(home) | 4-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Swaziland(home) | 2-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 13, 2015 | Swaziland(away) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 25, 2015 | Burkina Faso(away) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 12; Nigeria score 1.6 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/12 | 5/12 |
| Nigeria | 1.6 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 4th in African Nations Championship (4 points from 4 matches) and Nigeria sit 3rd (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nigeria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy