Guinea vs Tunisia: result 1-4 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Africa3rd Round - 5Kick-off on October 7, 2017 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
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What was the result of Guinea vs Tunisia?
Tunisia won 1-4 on October 7, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 37′N. KeïtaGuinea
- 45′Y. MsakniTunisia
- 74′Y. MsakniTunisia
- 83′M. Ben AmorTunisia
- 90′Y. MsakniTunisia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guinea have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Tunisia have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2017 | Libya(away) | 0-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 31, 2017 | Libya(home) | 3-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Aug 22, 2017 | Senegal(home) | 5-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Aug 14, 2017 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | African Nations Championship |
| Jul 21, 2017 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 7-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2017 | Congo DR(away) | 2-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 1, 2017 | Congo DR(home) | 2-1 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jun 11, 2017 | Egypt(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Mar 28, 2017 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 24, 2017 | Cameroon(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Guinea win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Tunisia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2016 | Tunisia 2-0 Guinea | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Jan 18, 2016 | Tunisia 2-2 Guinea | African Nations Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Guinea score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tunisia score 1.5 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guinea | 2.0 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tunisia | 1.5 | 1.0 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guinea sit 4th in World Cup - Qualification Africa (15 points from 10 matches) and Tunisia sit 1st (28 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tunisia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 28 |
| 4 | Guinea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy