Guiseley AFC vs Bury: result 3-2 and analysis
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 18, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
Full time
What was the result of Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
Guiseley AFC won 3-2 on August 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. PedroBury
- 7′K. EvansBury
- 27′A. MartinGuiseley AFC
- 33′A. MartinGuiseley AFC
- 90′613467Guiseley AFC
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Bury win at 41%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bury have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Barnsley(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Pontefract Collieries(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.6 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Bury score 1.9 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.6 | 1.5 | 3 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Bury | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 3rd in Non League Premier - Northern (32 points from 15 matches) and Bury sit 10th (23 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Guiseley AFC | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 32 |
| 10 | Bury | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 18 | 23 |
A question about Guiseley AFC vs Bury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
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