Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Guiseley AFC (1,768) and Ashton United (1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ashton United have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Curzon Ashton(away) | 2-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bury(home) | 3-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Workington(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Whitby Town(away) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | AFC Emley(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Whitby Town(home) | 2-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bamber Bridge(away) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stockton Town(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lancaster City(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guiseley AFC win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Ashton United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 4-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 3-0 Ashton United | FA Cup |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 1.8 | 1.5 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 6th in Non League Premier - Northern (10 points from 5 matches) and Ashton United sit 5th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ashton United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Guiseley AFC | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.