Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - NorthernRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)Nethermoor Park, Guiseley, West Yorkshire
The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Ashton United. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United?
Guiseley AFC starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,826 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Guiseley AFC
Not enough data to predict the Guiseley AFC lineup.
Ashton United
Not enough data to predict the Ashton United lineup.
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 12:33 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guiseley AFC have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Ashton United have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Sutton Utd(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Leek Town(home) | 4-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(away) | 2-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 3-1 | FA Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Workington(away) | 1-0 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Warrington Town(home) | 0-1 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rylands(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Redcar Athletic(home) | 1-0 | FA Trophy |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Avro(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Northern |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Guiseley AFC wins, 2 draws, 0 Ashton United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 4-2 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Guiseley AFC 1-0 Ashton United | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Ashton United 2-4 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Guiseley AFC 3-0 Ashton United | FA Cup |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Ashton United 1-1 Guiseley AFC | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Ashton United vs Guiseley AFC on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Guiseley AFC score 2.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ashton United score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guiseley AFC | 2.3 | 0.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Ashton United | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Guiseley AFC sit 4th in Non League Premier - Northern (33 points from 16 matches) and Ashton United sit 18th (17 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Guiseley AFC | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 16 | 33 |
| 18 | Ashton United | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 17 |
A question about Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Guiseley AFC the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Ashton United.
- Where and when is Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United played?
- Guiseley AFC vs Ashton United is played on November 17, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at Nethermoor Park, in the Non League Premier - Northern.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.