Gulf United vs Al Thaid: prediction and stats
Division 1Regular Season - 3Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC)321 Sports Stadium, Abu Dhabi
The Footlab model makes Al Thaid the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gulf United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gulf United vs Al Thaid?
Al Thaid starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (1,506 vs 1,356).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gulf United have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Al Thaid have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 2026 | Ittifaq(away) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Al Urooba(home) | 0-1 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Al Arabi(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Masfut(home) | 4-2 | Division 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Dubai United(away) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Al Urooba(away) | 1-1 | Division 1 |
| May 29, 2026 | Emirates Club(home) | 1-2 | Division 1 |
| May 23, 2026 | Dibba Al Hisn(away) | 1-3 | Division 1 |
| May 15, 2026 | Hatta SC(home) | 0-4 | Division 1 |
| May 10, 2026 | Al Fujairah SC(away) | 0-0 | Division 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Gulf United win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Al Thaid win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Al Thaid 3-1 Gulf United | Division 1 |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Gulf United 2-0 Al Thaid | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Al Thaid 2-1 Gulf United | Presidents Cup |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Gulf United 3-2 Al Thaid | Division 1 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Al Thaid 1-1 Gulf United | Division 1 |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Al Thaid 2-2 Gulf United | Division 1 |
Last archived meeting: Al Thaid vs Gulf United on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gulf United score 1.1 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Al Thaid score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gulf United | 1.1 | 1.9 | 1 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Al Thaid | 1.3 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Thaid | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gulf United vs Al Thaid?
- The Footlab model makes Al Thaid the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Gulf United.
- Where and when is Gulf United vs Al Thaid played?
- Gulf United vs Al Thaid is played on September 4, 2026 at 03:05 PM (UTC) at 321 Sports Stadium, in the Division 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.