Guria vs Tskhinvali: result 1-1 and analysis
Erovnuli LigaRegular SeasonKick-off on October 4, 2014 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Stadioni Evgrapi Shevardnadze, Lanchkhuti
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What was the result of Guria vs Tskhinvali?
Guria and Tskhinvali drew 1-1 on October 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 77′N. KacharavaTskhinvali
- 89′24468Guria (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Guria have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Tskhinvali have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2014 | WIT Georgia(away) | 2-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 21, 2014 | Merani Martvili(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 17, 2014 | Kolkheti Poti(home) | 3-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 11, 2014 | Dila(away) | 0-2 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 24, 2014 | Metalurgi Rustavi(away) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2014 | Zugdidi(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 16, 2014 | Samtredia(away) | 1-3 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Sep 12, 2014 | Torpedo Kutaisi(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
| Aug 24, 2014 | WIT Georgia(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Guria score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tskhinvali score 2.1 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guria | 1.5 | 1.1 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Tskhinvali | 2.1 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy