Gurten vs Ried II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Park21-Arena Gurten, Gurten
The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ried II. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gurten vs Ried II?
Gurten starts as the favourite with a 213-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,556).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gurten have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Ried II have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grödig(away) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(home) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Leonfelden(away) | 5-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UFC Hallein(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | LASK Juniors(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Grödig(home) | 2-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 11, 2026 | SK Vorwarts Steyr(away) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Leonfelden(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bad Schallerbach(away) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gurten win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ried II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gurten 3-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ried II 0-1 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Gurten 3-1 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Ried II 4-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Gurten 1-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Ried II 1-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
How many goals should we expect?
Gurten score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ried II score 1.5 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurten | 1.9 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ried II | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gurten sit 3rd in Regionalliga - North (9 points from 5 matches) and Ried II sit 2nd (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ried II | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Gurten | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gurten vs Ried II?
- The Footlab model makes Gurten the favourite at 65%, against 21% for a draw and 14% for Ried II.
- Where and when is Gurten vs Ried II played?
- Gurten vs Ried II is played on May 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Park21-Arena Gurten, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.