Gurten vs Ried II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 28Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Park21-Arena Gurten, Gurten
The Footlab AI model makes Gurten the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Ried II. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gurten vs Ried II?
Gurten starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,822 vs 1,563).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gurten vs Ried II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gurten
Not enough data to predict the Gurten lineup.
Ried II
Not enough data to predict the Ried II lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 08:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gurten have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ried II have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wohnbau Dietach(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Seekirchen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Gurten wins, 0 draws, 2 Ried II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gurten 3-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ried II 0-1 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Gurten 3-1 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Ried II 4-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Gurten 1-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Ried II 1-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
How many goals should we expect?
Gurten score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Ried II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gurten | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Ried II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gurten sit 4th in Regionalliga - North (18 points from 11 matches) and Ried II sit 11th (11 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gurten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | Ried II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Gurten vs Ried II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gurten vs Ried II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gurten the favourite at 76%, against 16% for a draw and 8% for Ried II.
- Where and when is Gurten vs Ried II played?
- Gurten vs Ried II is played on May 15, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Park21-Arena Gurten, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.