Ried II vs Gurten: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NorthNorth - 13Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Innviertel Arena, Ried Im Innkreis
The Footlab AI model makes Gurten the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Ried II. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ried II vs Gurten?
Gurten starts as the favourite with a 258-point Elo edge (1,843 vs 1,585).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ried II vs Gurten
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ried II
Not enough data to predict the Ried II lineup.
Gurten
Not enough data to predict the Gurten lineup.
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ried II have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Gurten have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wohnbau Dietach(home) | 3-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Seekirchen(home) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(away) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(home) | 0-5 | Regionalliga - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wals-Grünau(home) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Seekirchen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TSV St. Johann(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Wallern / Marienkirchen(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - North |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Pinzgau Saalfelden(home) | 4-1 | Regionalliga - North |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ried II wins, 0 draws, 4 Gurten wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Gurten 3-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Ried II 0-1 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 4, 2025 | Gurten 3-1 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Ried II 4-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Gurten 1-0 Ried II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Ried II 1-0 Gurten | Regionalliga - Mitte |
How many goals should we expect?
Ried II score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Gurten score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ried II | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Gurten | 1.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ried II sit 11th in Regionalliga - North (11 points from 11 matches) and Gurten sit 4th (18 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Gurten | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 18 |
| 11 | Ried II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 26 | 11 |
A question about Ried II vs Gurten?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ried II vs Gurten?
- The Footlab AI model makes Gurten the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for Ried II.
- Where and when is Ried II vs Gurten played?
- Ried II vs Gurten is played on October 18, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Innviertel Arena, in the Regionalliga - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.