H&W Welders vs Newington Youth: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Blanchflower Stadium, Belfast
The Footlab model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Newington Youth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win H&W Welders vs Newington Youth?
A very open match: only 38 Elo points separate H&W Welders (1,434) and Newington Youth (1,472).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, H&W Welders have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Newington Youth have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Armagh City(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 3-0 | Championship |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Loughgall(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Annagh United(home) | 4-1 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Crusaders FC(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 H&W Welders win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Newington Youth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Newington Youth 2-4 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Jan 31, 2026 | H&W Welders 2-1 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-1 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Aug 23, 2025 | H&W Welders 3-2 Newington Youth | Championship |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Newington Youth 2-0 H&W Welders | Championship |
| Dec 14, 2024 | H&W Welders 1-0 Newington Youth | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Newington Youth vs H&W Welders on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
H&W Welders score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newington Youth score 2.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H&W Welders | 1.6 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Newington Youth | 2.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
H&W Welders sit 2nd in Championship (9 points from 4 matches) and Newington Youth sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newington Youth | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | H&W Welders | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 87 | 48 | 66 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 77 | 41 | 59 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 77 | 62 | 60 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 69 | 52 | 51 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for H&W Welders vs Newington Youth?
- The Footlab model makes H&W Welders the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Newington Youth.
- Where and when is H&W Welders vs Newington Youth played?
- H&W Welders vs Newington Youth is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Blanchflower Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.