Ards vs Glenavon FC: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 27Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bangor Fuels Arena, Bangor
The Footlab AI model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ards. The most likely score is 1-1. If Glenavon FC wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ards vs Glenavon FC?
Glenavon FC starts as the favourite with a 170-point Elo edge (1,546 vs 1,376).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ards vs Glenavon FC
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ards
Not enough data to predict the Ards lineup.
Glenavon FC
4-3-3- 8L. McGerrigan
- 7R. Waide
- 11E. Devine
- 3P. Burns
- 20B. Wilson
- 6J. Mountney
- 4H. Murphy
- 2J. McMullan
- 15L. Cartwright
- 2J. McMullan
- 13M. Byrne
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 07:17 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ards have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Glenavon FC have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Newry City AFC(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Armagh City(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 0-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Queen's University(away) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Strabane Athletic(away) | 5-0 | League Cup |
| Oct 16, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Annagh United(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-0 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Ards win, 0 draws, 5 Glenavon FC wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Glenavon FC 1-3 Ards | Championship |
| Jul 18, 2023 | Glenavon FC 6-3 Ards | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 9, 2019 | Glenavon FC 2-0 Ards | Premiership |
| Nov 24, 2018 | Glenavon FC 3-1 Ards | Premiership |
| Sep 25, 2018 | Ards 0-2 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
| Feb 13, 2018 | Ards 1-6 Glenavon FC | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Ards score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Glenavon FC score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ards | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Glenavon FC | 2.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ards sit 8th in Championship (52 points from 38 matches) and Glenavon FC sit 2nd (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Glenavon FCChampionship 1 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 13 | 20 |
| 8 | ArdsChampionship 1: Relegation Group | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 56 | 51 | 52 |
A question about Ards vs Glenavon FC?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ards vs Glenavon FC?
- The Footlab AI model makes Glenavon FC the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for Ards.
- Where and when is Ards vs Glenavon FC played?
- Ards vs Glenavon FC is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bangor Fuels Arena, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.