Häcken II W vs Umeå W: prediction and stats
ElitettanRegular Season - 18Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Bravida Arena, Göteborg
The Footlab model makes Umeå W the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Häcken II W. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Häcken II W vs Umeå W?
Umeå W is a heavy favourite: 1,628 Elo points against 1,314 — a 313-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Häcken II W have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Umeå W have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sandviken W(away) | 3-2 | Elitettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Linköping W(home) | 1-2 | Elitettan |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Jitex W(away) | 0-1 | Elitettan |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandviken W(home) | 3-4 | Elitettan |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Enskede W(away) | 1-1 | Elitettan |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamla Upsala W(home) | 1-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Jitex W(home) | 2-0 | Elitettan |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Själevad W(away) | 6-0 | Svenska Cupen - Women |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Husqvarna W(away) | 2-1 | Elitettan |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Göteborg W(home) | 1-1 | Elitettan |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Häcken II W win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Umeå W win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Umeå W 4-1 Häcken II W | Elitettan |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Umeå W 2-2 Häcken II W | Elitettan |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Häcken II W 1-1 Umeå W | Elitettan |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Umeå W 1-0 Häcken II W | Elitettan |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Häcken II W 3-7 Umeå W | Elitettan |
Last archived meeting: Umeå W vs Häcken II W on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Häcken II W score 1.0 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Umeå W score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Häcken II W | 1.0 | 2.3 | 0 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Umeå W | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Häcken II W sit 14th in Elitettan (4 points from 15 matches) and Umeå W sit 5th (24 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Umeå W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 24 |
| 14 | Häcken II W | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Häcken II W vs Umeå W?
- The Footlab model makes Umeå W the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Häcken II W.
- Where and when is Häcken II W vs Umeå W played?
- Häcken II W vs Umeå W is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Bravida Arena, in the Elitettan.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.