Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueMatchday 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopian Medhin the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Halaba Ketema. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ethiopian Medhin wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 5,775 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Ethiopian Medhin starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,475).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Halaba Ketema
Not enough data to predict the Halaba Ketema lineup.
Ethiopian Medhin
Not enough data to predict the Ethiopian Medhin lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Halaba Ketema have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat; Ethiopian Medhin have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Hadiya Hosaena(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Welayta Dicha(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Bahardar(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Welwalo Adigrat Uni(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gamo Chencha(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Fasil Ketema(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Halaba Ketema score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 5; Ethiopian Medhin score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Halaba Ketema | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 3/5 | 2/5 |
| Ethiopian Medhin | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Halaba Ketema sit 5th in Premier League (8 points from 5 matches) and Ethiopian Medhin sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Halaba Ketema | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 8 |
| 6 | Ethiopian Medhin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 7 |
A question about Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ethiopian Medhin the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Halaba Ketema.
- Where and when is Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin played?
- Halaba Ketema vs Ethiopian Medhin is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 17, 2027BahardarvsAdama Kenema
- Apr 17, 2027Ethiopia BunnavsAwassa Kenema
- Apr 17, 2027Fasil KetemavsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 17, 2027Kedus GiorgisvsSidama Bunna
- Apr 17, 2027Welayta DichavsEthiopia Nigd Bank
- Apr 17, 2027Welwalo Adigrat UnivsSheger Ketema
- Apr 17, 2027Mebrat HaylvsGamo Chencha
- Apr 17, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsMekelakeya