Match

Bahardar vs Adama Kenema: prediction and stats

Premier LeagueRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Bahir Dar Stadium, Bahir Dar

BahardarAdama Kenema

The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for Adama Kenema. The most likely score is 0-0. If Bahardar wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,778 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 28, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Bahardar (1,563) and Adama Kenema (1,490).

38%35%27%
Bahardar winDrawAdama Kenema win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bahardar vs Adama Kenema

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bahardar

Not enough data to predict the Bahardar lineup.

Adama Kenema

4-3-3
  1. 18Abubeker Sani
  2. 15A. Elias
  3. 12D. Hotessa
  1. 16A. Sisay
  2. 25W. Gadissa
  3. 9N. Nuri
  1. 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
  2. 6M. Abdulkarim
  3. 21S. Yohannes
  4. 15M. Awol
  1. 1A. Markos

Computed on October 28, 2026 at 09:47 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bahardar have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Adama Kenema have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bahardar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 22, 2026Welayta Dicha(away)3-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Halaba Ketema(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Hadiya Hosaena(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 3, 2026Ethiopia Nigd Bank(away)2-2Premier League
Jun 28, 2026Sidama Bunna(home)0-1Premier League
Adama Kenema
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 26, 2026Negelle Arsi(away)0-1Premier League
Oct 22, 2026Kedus Giorgis(away)1-1Premier League
Oct 16, 2026Sheger Ketema(home)0-0Premier League
Oct 9, 2026Mebrat Hayl(away)1-0Premier League
Jul 4, 2026Awassa Kenema(away)3-2Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bahardar wins, 0 draws, 4 Adama Kenema wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 10, 2026Bahardar 2-1 Adama KenemaPremier League
Nov 25, 2025Adama Kenema 1-0 BahardarPremier League
Jun 2, 2025Adama Kenema 2-0 BahardarPremier League
Sep 27, 2024Bahardar 0-1 Adama KenemaPremier League
Jun 21, 2024Adama Kenema 2-3 BahardarPremier League
Feb 3, 2024Bahardar 1-2 Adama KenemaPremier League

Last archived meeting: Bahardar vs Adama Kenema on Apr 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bahardar score 0.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bahardar0.90.865/152/15
Adama Kenema0.90.965/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bahardar sit 4th in Premier League (6 points from 3 matches) and Adama Kenema sit 8th (5 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bahardar3201426
8Adama Kenema4121225

A question about Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bahardar vs Adama Kenema?
The Footlab AI model makes Bahardar the favourite at 38%, against 35% for a draw and 27% for Adama Kenema.
Where and when is Bahardar vs Adama Kenema played?
Bahardar vs Adama Kenema is played on April 17, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Bahir Dar Stadium, in the Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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