Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 24Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfB Lübeck. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Hamburger SV II (1,844) and VfB Lübeck (1,902).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV II have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; VfB Lübeck have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Hamburger SV II win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 VfB Lübeck win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 0-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 25, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 2-1 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 1, 2022 | Hamburger SV II 3-3 VfB Lübeck | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV II sit 18th in Regionalliga - Nord (1 points from 4 matches) and VfB Lübeck sit 16th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck?
- The Footlab model makes Hamburger SV II the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for VfB Lübeck.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck played?
- Hamburger SV II vs VfB Lübeck is played on February 27, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Wolfgang-Meyer-Sportanlage, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Feb 27, 2027Bremer SVvsEintracht Norderstedt
- Feb 27, 2027Weiche FlensburgvsSchöningen
- Feb 27, 2027SSV JeddelohvsKickers Emden
- Feb 27, 2027Atlas DelmenhorstvsWerder Bremen II
- Feb 27, 2027Hannover 96 IIvsEimsbütteler TV
- Feb 27, 2027St. Pauli IIvsVfB Oldenburg
- Feb 27, 2027Phönix LübeckvsSV Drochtersen/Assel
- Feb 27, 2027TodesfeldevsHSC Hannover