Match

VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck

VfB LübeckHamburger SV II

The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,896) and Hamburger SV II (1,838).

VfB Lübeck win49 %
Draw24 %
Hamburger SV II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfB Lübeck
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)0-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 11, 2026VfB Oldenburg(home)1-1Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 8, 2026Atlas Delmenhorst(away)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 4, 2026Phönix L. II(home)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Aug 1, 2026Heider SV(away)3-1Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein
Hamburger SV II
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Eimsbütteler TV(home)0-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 16, 2026SV Drochtersen/Assel(home)1-4Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 12, 2026Todesfelde(home)2-2Regionalliga - Nord
Aug 7, 2026Kickers Emden(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nord
Jul 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfB Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV II win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 13, 2026VfB Lübeck 0-2 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Nov 5, 2025Hamburger SV II 2-2 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Apr 2, 2025Hamburger SV II 2-3 VfB LübeckRegionalliga - Nord
Aug 10, 2024VfB Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Nov 25, 2022VfB Lübeck 2-1 Hamburger SV IIRegionalliga - Nord
Jul 1, 2022Hamburger SV II 3-3 VfB LübeckFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfB Lübeck1.31.329/156/15
Hamburger SV II1.51.8111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16VfB Lübeck4022282
18Hamburger SV II40135111

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV II.
Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II played?
VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: VfB Lübeck and Hamburger SV II

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