VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordNorth - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate VfB Lübeck (1,896) and Hamburger SV II (1,838).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfB Lübeck have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 0-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 11, 2026 | VfB Oldenburg(home) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atlas Delmenhorst(away) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Eimsbütteler TV(home) | 0-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 16, 2026 | SV Drochtersen/Assel(home) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Kickers Emden(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Lüneburger SK Hansa(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 VfB Lübeck win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | VfB Lübeck 0-2 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-2 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Apr 2, 2025 | Hamburger SV II 2-3 VfB Lübeck | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | VfB Lübeck 1-0 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Nov 25, 2022 | VfB Lübeck 2-1 Hamburger SV II | Regionalliga - Nord |
| Jul 1, 2022 | Hamburger SV II 3-3 VfB Lübeck | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
VfB Lübeck score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV II score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Lübeck | 1.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Hamburger SV II | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
VfB Lübeck sit 16th in Regionalliga - Nord (2 points from 4 matches) and Hamburger SV II sit 18th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | VfB Lübeck | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
| 18 | Hamburger SV II | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Lübeck the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Hamburger SV II.
- Where and when is VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II played?
- VfB Lübeck vs Hamburger SV II is played on August 26, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Dietmar-Scholze-Stadion an der Lohmühle, in the Regionalliga - Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 23, 2026Eintracht Norderstedt1-4Weiche Flensburg
- Aug 26, 2026SchöningenvsSt. Pauli II
- Aug 26, 2026HSC HannovervsPhönix Lübeck
- Aug 26, 2026TodesfeldevsVfB Oldenburg
- Aug 26, 2026Eimsbütteler TVvsBremer SV
- Aug 26, 2026SSV JeddelohvsHannover 96 II
- Aug 26, 2026Atlas DelmenhorstvsKickers Emden
- Aug 26, 2026SV Drochtersen/AsselvsWerder Bremen II