Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W: prediction and stats
Frauen BundesligaRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Volksparkstadion, Hamburg
The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV W the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Mainz 05 W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamburger SV W wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate Hamburger SV W (1,822) and Mainz 05 W (1,828).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hamburger SV W
5-3-2- 37P. Bartz
- 20N. Karczewska
- 7C. Linberg
- 15L. Peneau
- 28P. Machtens
- 2M. Doucouré
- 8S. Stoldt
- 6A. Böhler
- 10C. Morich
- 26J. M. Wrede
- 36J. Baum
Mainz 05 W
Not enough data to predict the Mainz 05 W lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 02:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamburger SV W have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mainz 05 W have 9, 0 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg W(away) | 1-2 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Meppen W(away) | 2-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Nürnberg W(home) | 5-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Werder Bremen W(away) | 0-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(home) | 1-1 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | RB Leipzig W(away) | 0-5 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Ingolstadt W(away) | 6-1 | DFB Pokal - Women |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt W(home) | 2-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | SC Freiburg W(away) | 0-3 | Frauen Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | FC Koln W(home) | 0-4 | Frauen Bundesliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Hamburger SV W score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mainz 05 W score 2.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV W | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
| Mainz 05 W | 2.8 | 1.6 | 5 | 6/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamburger SV W sit 12th in Frauen Bundesliga (5 points from 6 matches) and Mainz 05 W sit 14th (0 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 W | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 0 |
A question about Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hamburger SV W the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Mainz 05 W.
- Where and when is Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W played?
- Hamburger SV W vs Mainz 05 W is played on November 15, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Volksparkstadion, in the Frauen Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.