Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead?
Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,725 vs 1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hamilton Academical have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Peterhead have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 4-0 | League One |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Celtic II(home) | 1-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 5-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ross County(home) | 0-1 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Hamilton Academical win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Peterhead win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 2026 | Peterhead 0-1 Hamilton Academical | League Cup |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hamilton Academical 3-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Peterhead 2-3 Hamilton Academical | League One |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hamilton Academical 3-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Peterhead 2-2 Hamilton Academical | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs Hamilton Academical on Jul 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hamilton Academical score 2.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton Academical | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Peterhead | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hamilton Academical sit 1st in League One (10 points from 4 matches) and Peterhead sit 5th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamilton Academical | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 10 |
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead?
- The Footlab model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead played?
- Hamilton Academical vs Peterhead is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at ZLX Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.