Airdrie United vs Peterhead: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 17Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Peterhead. The most likely score is 1-1. If Airdrie United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,398 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Peterhead?
Airdrie United starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,644 vs 1,535).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Airdrie United vs Peterhead
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Airdrie United
4-1-2-1-2- 25J. Gentles
- 10M. Yates
- 4C. Ross
- 27L. Gibson
- 16C. Smith
- 8G. Gallagher
- 5S. Fisher
- 2D. MacDonald
- 31D. Gallagher
- 24R. Tumilty
- 1J. Sneddon
Peterhead
4-2-3-1- 7L. Keir
- 21D. Forrest
- 6B. Yule
- 18Z. To
- 8A. McCarthy
- 9M. Megginson
- 5Jason Brown
- 4A. Graham
- 2D. Strachan
- 46Josh Kerr
- 31C. Hepburn
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 01:03 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Peterhead have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 2-2 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Berwick Rangers(home) | 7-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic(away) | 6-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Rangers U21(home) | 1-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Forfar Athletic(away) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Airdrie United wins, 2 draws, 0 Peterhead wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Peterhead 1-2 Airdrie United | League One |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Airdrie United 7-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Jan 7, 2023 | Peterhead 0-3 Airdrie United | League One |
| Nov 12, 2022 | Airdrie United 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Jul 30, 2022 | Peterhead 0-2 Airdrie United | League One |
| Apr 30, 2022 | Airdrie United 1-1 Peterhead | League One |
Last archived meeting: Peterhead vs Airdrie United on Sep 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Airdrie United score 2.0 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Peterhead score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | 2.0 | 1.4 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Peterhead | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Airdrie United sit 5th in League One (13 points from 10 matches) and Peterhead sit 9th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Airdrie United | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 13 |
| 9 | Peterhead | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 7 |
A question about Airdrie United vs Peterhead?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Peterhead?
- The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Peterhead.
- Where and when is Airdrie United vs Peterhead played?
- Airdrie United vs Peterhead is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.