Haninge vs Smedby: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Södra SvealandSödra Svealand - 23Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Torvalla IP 1, Haninge
The Footlab model makes Haninge the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Smedby. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haninge vs Smedby?
A very open match: only 61 Elo points separate Haninge (1,553) and Smedby (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haninge have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Smedby have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nyköping(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 0-3 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Farsta(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Fittja(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Arlanda(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Syrianska FC(away) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eker Örebro(home) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlslund(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Örebro Syrianska(home) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Lindo FF(away) | 0-2 | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 4 Haninge win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Smedby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 2026 | Smedby 1-4 Haninge | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Haninge 5-0 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| May 19, 2024 | Smedby 0-2 Haninge | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Smedby 0-3 Haninge | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Haninge 0-3 Smedby | Division 2 - Södra Svealand |
How many goals should we expect?
Haninge score 2.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Smedby score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haninge | 2.8 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| Smedby | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haninge sit 6th in Division 2 - Södra Svealand (22 points from 12 matches) and Smedby sit 3rd (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Smedby | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Haninge | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 33 |
| 6 | Haninge | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 22 |
| 6 | Smedby | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haninge vs Smedby?
- The Footlab model makes Haninge the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 28% for Smedby.
- Where and when is Haninge vs Smedby played?
- Haninge vs Smedby is played on September 27, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Torvalla IP 1, in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.