Hansa Rostock II vs Sparta Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 12Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Volksstadion, Rostock
The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock II the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hansa Rostock II vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
Hansa Rostock II starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,849 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hansa Rostock II have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Sparta Lichtenberg have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hertha Zehlendorf(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Todesfelde(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Viktoria Berlin(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Makkabi(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Hansa Rostock II win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-1 Hansa Rostock II | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Hansa Rostock II 4-3 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 18, 2025 | Hansa Rostock II 7-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Sparta Lichtenberg 6-4 Hansa Rostock II | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Hansa Rostock II on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hansa Rostock II score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hansa Rostock II | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hansa Rostock II sit 16th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (1 points from 2 matches) and Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 16 | Hansa Rostock II | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hansa Rostock II vs Sparta Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Hansa Rostock II the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Hansa Rostock II vs Sparta Lichtenberg played?
- Hansa Rostock II vs Sparta Lichtenberg is played on November 22, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Volksstadion, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 22, 2026FC Lok StendalvsUnion Klosterfelde
- Nov 22, 2026LichtenbergvsReinickendorfer Fuchse
- Nov 22, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsMecklenburg Schwerin
- Nov 22, 2026Tennis BorussiavsEintracht Mahlsdorf
- Nov 22, 2026Anker WismarvsBAK '07
- Nov 22, 2026MakkabivsNeustrelitz
- Nov 22, 2026SiedenbollentinvsOptik Rathenow