Match

Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats

Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin

Sparta LichtenbergLichtenberg

The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg?

Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,737).

Sparta Lichtenberg win37 %
Draw20 %
Lichtenberg win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sparta Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Mecklenburg Schwerin(home)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 9, 2026Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away)1-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 2, 2026Krieschow(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Siedenbollentin(away)3-4Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
May 17, 2026Neustrelitz(home)4-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Lichtenberg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 16, 2026Union Klosterfelde(away)1-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Aug 8, 2026Neustrelitz(home)3-2Oberliga - Nordost-Nord
Jul 18, 2026Dresden II(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 8, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-9Friendlies Clubs
May 30, 2026Tennis Borussia(home)0-1Oberliga - Nordost-Nord

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lichtenberg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 8, 2026Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 14, 2025Lichtenberg 0-2 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Mar 9, 2025Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 15, 2024Lichtenberg 1-1 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Apr 7, 2024Lichtenberg 3-0 Sparta LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord
Sep 24, 2023Sparta Lichtenberg 1-2 LichtenbergOberliga - Nordost-Nord

Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg on Mar 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sparta Lichtenberg2.32.1014/1512/15
Lichtenberg1.51.939/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Lichtenberg2101443
10Sparta Lichtenberg2020222

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg?
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg played?
Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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