Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Nordost-NordNOFV-Nord - 13Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sparta Lichtenberg. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg?
Lichtenberg starts as the favourite with a 157-point Elo edge (1,894 vs 1,737).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sparta Lichtenberg have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Lichtenberg have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mecklenburg Schwerin(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Reinickendorfer Fuchse(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Krieschow(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Siedenbollentin(away) | 3-4 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| May 17, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union Klosterfelde(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Neustrelitz(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dresden II(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Hertha BSC(home) | 0-9 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 30, 2026 | Tennis Borussia(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sparta Lichtenberg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Lichtenberg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sparta Lichtenberg 3-3 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Lichtenberg 0-2 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-5 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Lichtenberg 1-1 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Lichtenberg 3-0 Sparta Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Sparta Lichtenberg 1-2 Lichtenberg | Oberliga - Nordost-Nord |
Last archived meeting: Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sparta Lichtenberg score 2.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lichtenberg score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sparta Lichtenberg | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0 | 14/15 | 12/15 |
| Lichtenberg | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sparta Lichtenberg sit 10th in Oberliga - Nordost-Nord (2 points from 2 matches) and Lichtenberg sit 8th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lichtenberg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Sparta Lichtenberg | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg?
- The Footlab model makes Lichtenberg the favourite at 43%, against 20% for a draw and 37% for Sparta Lichtenberg.
- Where and when is Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg played?
- Sparta Lichtenberg vs Lichtenberg is played on November 29, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rasenplatz Fischerstraße, in the Oberliga - Nordost-Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 29, 2026BAK '07vsHansa Rostock II
- Nov 29, 2026Eintracht MahlsdorfvsAnker Wismar
- Nov 29, 2026Hertha ZehlendorfvsFC Lok Stendal
- Nov 29, 2026NeustrelitzvsTennis Borussia
- Nov 29, 2026Mecklenburg SchwerinvsOptik Rathenow
- Nov 29, 2026Reinickendorfer FuchsevsSiedenbollentin
- Nov 29, 2026Union KlosterfeldevsMakkabi