Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Yam SC: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Yam SC?
Kiryat Yam SC starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,806 vs 1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Kiryat Yam SC have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 6-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 0-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(away) | 1-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Bnei Yehuda(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Hapoel Afula win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Kiryat Yam SC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Kiryat Yam SC 1-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 2-0 Kiryat Yam SC | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Kiryat Yam SC vs Hapoel Afula on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Kiryat Yam SC score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Kiryat Yam SC | 1.4 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Kiryat Yam SC sit 5th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Kiryat Yam SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Yam SC?
- The Footlab model makes Kiryat Yam SC the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Yam SC played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Kiryat Yam SC is played on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsAshdod
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsIroni Modi'in
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi Bnei RainavsKafr Qasim
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsBnei Yehuda