Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ashdod: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 30Kick-off on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ilut Stadium, Ilut
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashdod. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ashdod?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Maccabi Ahi Nazareth (1,738) and Ashdod (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Ahi Nazareth have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Ashdod have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(home) | 0-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Ra'anana(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home) | 4-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(away) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(home) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Afula(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 18, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 3-2 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 13, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(home) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 10, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ashdod score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ashdod | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth sit 13th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Ashdod sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ashdod | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ashdod?
- The Footlab model makes Maccabi Ahi Nazareth the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Ashdod.
- Where and when is Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ashdod played?
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth vs Ashdod is played on March 19, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ilut Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel AfulavsKiryat Yam SC
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsMaccabi Herzliya
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Ra'ananavsIroni Modi'in
- Mar 19, 2027Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi Bnei RainavsKafr Qasim
- Mar 19, 2027Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsBnei Yehuda