Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, Be'er Sheva
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Tel Aviv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Hapoel Beer Sheva (2,074) and Hapoel Tel Aviv (2,038).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Beer Sheva have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 2-5 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hapoel Haifa(away) | 0-4 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 11, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FK Crvena Zvezda(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Beer Sheva win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| May 2, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 19, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Hapoel Beer Sheva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-5 Hapoel Beer Sheva | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Beer Sheva on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Beer Sheva score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1.7 | 1.8 | 5 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Beer Sheva sit 1st in Ligat Ha'al (79 points from 36 matches) and Hapoel Tel Aviv sit 4th (60 points from 36 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 38 | 79 |
| 4 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 55 | 38 | 60 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Beer Sheva the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Hapoel Tel Aviv.
- Where and when is Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Yaakov Turner Toto Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.