Match

Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya

Hapoel HerzliyaFC Jerusalem

The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem?

FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,620).

Hapoel Herzliya win22 %
Draw23 %
FC Jerusalem win56 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Herzliya
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)0-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Marmorek(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 12, 2026Hapoel Azor(away)0-0Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026FC Jerusalem(home)1-5Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Tzeirey Tira(away)0-1Liga Alef
FC Jerusalem
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Dimona(home)4-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Nordia Jerusalem(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)3-3Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)5-1Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-2Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Jerusalem win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 6, 2026Hapoel Herzliya 1-5 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Sep 26, 2025FC Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef
Mar 12, 2025Hapoel Herzliya 6-1 FC JerusalemLiga Alef
Nov 8, 2024FC Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel HerzliyaLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Herzliya0.61.927/157/15
FC Jerusalem2.11.339/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2FC Jerusalem221147452937
14Hapoel Herzliya225710223622

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem?
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya.
Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem played?
Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Herzliya and FC Jerusalem

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