Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Municipal Stadium Herzliya, Herzliya
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,620).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Herzliya have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | FC Jerusalem(home) | 1-5 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 31, 2026 | Tzeirey Tira(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Hapoel Herzliya win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya 1-5 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 26, 2025 | FC Jerusalem 1-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Hapoel Herzliya 6-1 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Nov 8, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 3-0 Hapoel Herzliya | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem on Feb 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Herzliya score 0.6 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Herzliya | 0.6 | 1.9 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Herzliya sit 14th in Liga Alef (22 points from 22 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 14 | Hapoel Herzliya | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 36 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Hapoel Herzliya.
- Where and when is Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Herzliya vs FC Jerusalem is played on November 28, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Municipal Stadium Herzliya, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Hadera
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Marmorek
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi YavnevsMaccabi Ashdod
- Nov 28, 2026DimonavsBeitar Yavne
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Nov 28, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirey TiravsKfar Saba 1928