Match

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats

Liga AlefSouth - 11Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)

Hapoel Mahane YehudaHapoel Marmorek

The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek?

A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win39 %
Draw27 %
Hapoel Marmorek win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jan 5, 2025Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away)1-5State Cup
Nov 11, 2024Agudat Sport Ashdod(away)0-1State Cup
Oct 8, 2024Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away)2-1State Cup
Sep 24, 2024Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home)3-1State Cup
Sep 6, 2024Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away)4-2State Cup
Hapoel Marmorek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Maccabi Ashdod(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 20, 2026Hapoel Herzliya(away)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home)1-1Liga Alef
Feb 5, 2026Beitar Yavne(away)2-0Liga Alef
Jan 30, 2026Holon Yermiyahu(away)2-1Liga Alef

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2017Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Hapoel Mahane YehudaLiga Alef
Sep 16, 2016Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-3 Hapoel MarmorekLiga Alef

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Jan 20, 2017

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda1.71.928/1510/15
Hapoel Marmorek0.91.347/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Hapoel Marmorek226610203424

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek?
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek.
Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on November 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Mahane Yehuda and Hapoel Marmorek

Ready to know everything about football?