Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 11Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Moshava Training Field, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Hapoel Mahane Yehuda (1,562) and Hapoel Marmorek (1,608).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Mahane Yehuda have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Hapoel Marmorek have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2025 | Hapoel Hod HaSharon(away) | 1-5 | State Cup |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Agudat Sport Ashdod(away) | 0-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Hapoel Kiryat Ono(away) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 24, 2024 | Maccabi Giv'at Shmuel(home) | 3-1 | State Cup |
| Sep 6, 2024 | Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla(away) | 4-2 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(away) | 2-0 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Marmorek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2017 | Hapoel Marmorek 1-1 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | Liga Alef |
| Sep 16, 2016 | Hapoel Mahane Yehuda 0-3 Hapoel Marmorek | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Marmorek vs Hapoel Mahane Yehuda on Jan 20, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Marmorek score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Mahane Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Marmorek | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Marmorek | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 34 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Mahane Yehuda the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Marmorek.
- Where and when is Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek played?
- Hapoel Mahane Yehuda vs Hapoel Marmorek is played on November 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Moshava Training Field, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel AzorvsHapoel Hadera
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi YavnevsMaccabi Ashdod
- Nov 28, 2026DimonavsBeitar Yavne
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel HerzliyavsFC Jerusalem
- Nov 28, 2026Hapoel SderotvsHolon Yermiyahu
- Nov 28, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Nov 28, 2026Tzeirey TiravsKfar Saba 1928