Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 203-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Katamon have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Katamon win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Hapoel Katamon 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 3-0 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | State Cup |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Katamon on Feb 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 50%, against 29% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Katamon vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.