Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Katamon: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 11Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Teddi Malcha Stadium, Jerusalem
The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Katamon. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Katamon?
Beitar Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 226-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,852).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Beitar Jerusalem have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Katamon have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 3-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Austria Vienna(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Austria Vienna(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(home) | 2-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | AEK Larnaca(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-5 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Maccabi Haifa(away) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(home) | 3-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 2-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 1-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Beitar Jerusalem win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Katamon win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon 0-2 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 8, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Beitar Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 1, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 3-3 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 6, 2024 | Beitar Jerusalem 2-0 Hapoel Katamon | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 11, 2024 | Hapoel Katamon 3-0 Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Katamon vs Beitar Jerusalem on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Beitar Jerusalem score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Katamon score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beitar Jerusalem | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Hapoel Katamon | 1.1 | 1.3 | 7 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Hapoel Katamon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Katamon?
- The Footlab model makes Beitar Jerusalem the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Hapoel Katamon.
- Where and when is Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Katamon played?
- Beitar Jerusalem vs Hapoel Katamon is played on November 28, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Teddi Malcha Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.