Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Levita Stadium, Kfar-Saba
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Afula the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Kfar Saba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Hapoel Kfar Saba (1,728) and Hapoel Afula (1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Kfar Saba have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Hapoel Afula have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Ironi Modi'in(home) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hapoel Rishon LeZion(away) | 0-2 | Liga Leumit |
| May 25, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(away) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 15, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(home) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Kfar Saba win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Afula win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 3-3 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Hapoel Afula 1-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 13, 2025 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 2-0 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 5, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 1-1 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
| May 10, 2024 | Hapoel Kfar Saba 0-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 22, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 1-3 Hapoel Kfar Saba | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula on Jan 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Kfar Saba score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Kfar Saba | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Kfar Saba sit 15th in Liga Leumit (0 points from 2 matches) and Hapoel Afula sit 4th (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 15 | Hapoel Kfar Saba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Afula the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Hapoel Kfar Saba.
- Where and when is Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula played?
- Hapoel Kfar Saba vs Hapoel Afula is played on October 23, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Levita Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel AcrevsHapoel Ra'anana
- Oct 23, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsHapoel Kfar Shalem
- Oct 23, 2026Kafr QasimvsAshdod
- Oct 23, 2026Maccabi HerzliyavsMaccabi Kabilio Jaffa
- Oct 23, 2026Bnei YehudavsKiryat Yam SC
- Oct 23, 2026Ironi Modi'invsMaccabi Bnei Raina
- Oct 23, 2026Maccabi Kiryat GatvsMaccabi Ahi Nazareth