Match

Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda: prediction and stats

Liga LeumitRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula

Hapoel AfulaBnei Yehuda

The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda?

Bnei Yehuda starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,707).

Hapoel Afula win21 %
Draw25 %
Bnei Yehuda win54 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bnei Yehuda have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Afula
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away)1-0Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Ashdod(home)2-0Liga Leumit
Jul 18, 2026Dobrudzha(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Kafr Qasim(home)2-0Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)1-4Liga Leumit
Bnei Yehuda
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home)3-1Liga Leumit
Aug 18, 2026Maccabi Bnei Raina(away)4-1Liga Leumit
Jul 20, 2026Hapoel Petah Tikva(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026Maccabi Herzliya(home)1-1Liga Leumit
May 20, 2026Maccabi Petah Tikva(away)2-2Liga Leumit

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bnei Yehuda win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 27, 2026Hapoel Afula 0-1 Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit
Oct 31, 2025Bnei Yehuda 0-1 Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit
Jan 31, 2025Bnei Yehuda 0-1 Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit
Sep 30, 2024Hapoel Afula 2-2 Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit
Mar 22, 2024Bnei Yehuda 4-2 Hapoel AfulaLiga Leumit
Dec 12, 2023Hapoel Afula 1-1 Bnei YehudaLiga Leumit

Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Afula1.11.268/156/15
Bnei Yehuda1.71.1411/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Bnei Yehuda sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Bnei Yehuda2200726
4Hapoel Afula2200306

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda?
The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Afula.
Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda played?
Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Hapoel Afula and Bnei Yehuda

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