Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda: prediction and stats
Liga LeumitRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Afula Illit Stadium, Afula
The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Afula. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda?
Bnei Yehuda starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,870 vs 1,707).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Afula have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bnei Yehuda have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(away) | 1-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ashdod(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Kafr Qasim(home) | 2-0 | Liga Leumit |
| May 19, 2026 | Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away) | 1-4 | Liga Leumit |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hapoel Kfar Shalem(home) | 3-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Maccabi Bnei Raina(away) | 4-1 | Liga Leumit |
| Jul 20, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | Maccabi Herzliya(home) | 1-1 | Liga Leumit |
| May 20, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 2-2 | Liga Leumit |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Afula win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Bnei Yehuda win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | Hapoel Afula 0-1 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Bnei Yehuda 0-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Jan 31, 2025 | Bnei Yehuda 0-1 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Hapoel Afula 2-2 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
| Mar 22, 2024 | Bnei Yehuda 4-2 Hapoel Afula | Liga Leumit |
| Dec 12, 2023 | Hapoel Afula 1-1 Bnei Yehuda | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda on Mar 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Afula score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bnei Yehuda score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Afula | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Bnei Yehuda | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Afula sit 4th in Liga Leumit (6 points from 2 matches) and Bnei Yehuda sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bnei Yehuda | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Hapoel Afula | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda?
- The Footlab model makes Bnei Yehuda the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Hapoel Afula.
- Where and when is Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda played?
- Hapoel Afula vs Bnei Yehuda is played on November 27, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Afula Illit Stadium, in the Liga Leumit.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel AcrevsMaccabi Herzliya
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Rishon LeZionvsIroni Modi'in
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Ahi NazarethvsKiryat Yam SC
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Ra'ananavsAshdod
- Nov 27, 2026Hapoel Kfar ShalemvsHapoel Kfar Saba
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Bnei RainavsMaccabi Kiryat Gat
- Nov 27, 2026Maccabi Kabilio JaffavsKafr Qasim