Match

Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan: prediction and stats

Liga AlefNorth - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Green Stadium, Nazareth Illit

Hapoel Nazareth IllitMaccabi Neve Sha'anan

The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate Hapoel Nazareth Illit (1,659) and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan (1,674).

Hapoel Nazareth Illit win35 %
Draw26 %
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Nazareth Illit have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hapoel Nazareth Illit
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Hapoel Acre(home)2-2Liga Leumit
May 19, 2026Ironi Modi'in(home)0-2Liga Leumit
May 15, 2026Hapoel Afula(away)1-2Liga Leumit
May 11, 2026Kafr Qasim(away)1-1Liga Leumit
May 4, 2026Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa(away)0-2Liga Leumit
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Feb 27, 2026Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away)2-1Liga Alef
Feb 21, 2026Maccabi K. Ata Bialik(home)3-5Liga Alef
Feb 13, 2026Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(home)1-2Liga Alef
Feb 6, 2026Ironi Baka El Garbiya(away)1-4Liga Alef
Jan 31, 2026Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(home)0-0Liga Alef

How many goals should we expect?

Hapoel Nazareth Illit score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Neve Sha'anan score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hapoel Nazareth Illit1.31.739/157/15
Maccabi Neve Sha'anan1.61.5410/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Maccabi Neve Sha'anan221066342936

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan?
The Footlab model makes Maccabi Neve Sha'anan the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Hapoel Nazareth Illit.
Where and when is Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan played?
Hapoel Nazareth Illit vs Maccabi Neve Sha'anan is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Green Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Hapoel Nazareth Illit and Maccabi Neve Sha'anan

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