Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba: prediction and stats
Liga AlefNorth - 33Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)HaShalom Stadium, Umm al-Fahm
The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm (1,657) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba (1,583).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Hapoel Ironi Arraba have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Maccabi Neve Sha'anan(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Baka El Garbiya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba(home) | 3-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Ironi Karmiel(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 22, 2026 | Tzeirey Tamra(home) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Ironi Nesher(away) | 1-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth(home) | 2-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm(away) | 0-3 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 3-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0-1 Hapoel Ironi Arraba | Liga Alef |
| Sep 13, 2024 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1-2 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba on Jan 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Ironi Arraba score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm sit 10th in Liga Alef (30 points from 22 matches) and Hapoel Ironi Arraba sit 13th (21 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 30 |
| 13 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba?
- The Footlab model makes Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Hapoel Ironi Arraba.
- Where and when is Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba played?
- Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Ironi Arraba is played on April 10, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at HaShalom Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel Nazareth IllitvsMaccabi Neve Sha'anan
- Apr 10, 2027Beitar NahariyavsMaccabi K. Ata Bialik
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel Tirat HaCarmelvsHapoel Umm al-Fahm
- Apr 10, 2027Ironi Baka El GarbiyavsHapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt
- Apr 10, 2027TiravsHapoel Migdal HaEmek
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel Beit SheanvsIroni Nesher
- Apr 10, 2027Hapoel Ironi KarmielvsMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
- Apr 10, 2027Tzeirey TamravsHapoel Bnei Musmus