Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)HaMoshava Stadium, Pétaḥ-Tiqva (Petach-Tikva)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,822).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on January 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at HaMoshava Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.