Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 216-point Elo edge (2,057 vs 1,841).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Hapoel Petah Tikva have 1, 4 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 0-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 1-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 0-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(away) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 0-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 4-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Hapoel Petah Tikva 1-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva | Liga Leumit |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Petah Tikva score 0.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 65%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva is played on September 19, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.