Hapoel Sderot vs Beitar Yavne: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 9Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Beitar Yavne. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Sderot vs Beitar Yavne?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Hapoel Sderot (1,671) and Beitar Yavne (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Sderot have 2 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Beitar Yavne have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 1-2 | State Cup |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Hapoel Hadera(away) | 4-3 | State Cup |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Araba(home) | 2-1 | State Cup |
| Oct 2, 2018 | Maccabi Yavne(home) | 0-4 | State Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 1-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Holon Yermiyahu(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(home) | 0-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hapoel Azor(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Sderot score 1.8 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 4; Beitar Yavne score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Sderot | 1.8 | 2.5 | 0 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
| Beitar Yavne | 1.4 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Beitar Yavne | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Sderot vs Beitar Yavne?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Sderot the favourite at 39%, against 27% for a draw and 35% for Beitar Yavne.
- Where and when is Hapoel Sderot vs Beitar Yavne played?
- Hapoel Sderot vs Beitar Yavne is played on October 31, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC), in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel AzorvsFC Jerusalem
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Hadera
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHolon Yermiyahu
- Oct 31, 2026DimonavsHapoel Herzliya
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi YavnevsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Oct 31, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 31, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Marmorek