Hapoel Azor vs FC Jerusalem: prediction and stats
Liga AlefSouth - 9Kick-off on October 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Azor Stadium, Azor
The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Azor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Azor vs FC Jerusalem?
FC Jerusalem starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,615).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Azor have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; FC Jerusalem have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(home) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 12, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(home) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(away) | 0-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Beitar Yavne(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Hapoel Marmorek(away) | 0-0 | Liga Alef |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | Dimona(home) | 4-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 20, 2026 | Nordia Jerusalem(away) | 2-1 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Maccabi Ashdod(home) | 3-3 | Liga Alef |
| Feb 6, 2026 | Hapoel Herzliya(away) | 5-1 | Liga Alef |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Maccabi Kiryat Malachi(home) | 1-2 | Liga Alef |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Hapoel Azor win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 FC Jerusalem win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | FC Jerusalem 1-1 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
| Jan 24, 2025 | Hapoel Azor 0-3 FC Jerusalem | Liga Alef |
| Sep 20, 2024 | FC Jerusalem 3-1 Hapoel Azor | Liga Alef |
Last archived meeting: FC Jerusalem vs Hapoel Azor on Jan 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Azor score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Jerusalem score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Azor | 0.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| FC Jerusalem | 2.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hapoel Azor sit 13th in Liga Alef (23 points from 21 matches) and FC Jerusalem sit 2nd (37 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Jerusalem | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 37 |
| 13 | Hapoel Azor | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Azor vs FC Jerusalem?
- The Footlab model makes FC Jerusalem the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Hapoel Azor.
- Where and when is Hapoel Azor vs FC Jerusalem played?
- Hapoel Azor vs FC Jerusalem is played on October 30, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Azor Stadium, in the Liga Alef.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 30, 2026Hapoel Mahane YehudavsHapoel Hadera
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi AshdodvsHapoel Ramat HaSharon
- Oct 30, 2026Maccabi Kiryat MalachivsHolon Yermiyahu
- Oct 31, 2026DimonavsHapoel Herzliya
- Oct 31, 2026Hapoel SderotvsBeitar Yavne
- Oct 31, 2026Maccabi YavnevsShimshon Tel Aviv
- Oct 31, 2026Nordia JerusalemvsKfar Saba 1928
- Oct 31, 2026Tzeirey TiravsHapoel Marmorek