Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 24Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Maccabi Petah Tikva. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,857).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Maccabi Petah Tikva have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(home) | 2-1 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ironi Tiberias(away) | 3-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Katamon(away) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Netanya(home) | 1-2 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Maccabi Petah Tikva win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 4-2 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Dec 19, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 0-2 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jan 1, 2022 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Maccabi Petah Tikva 1-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Maccabi Petah Tikva score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1.3 | 1.2 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 56%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Maccabi Petah Tikva.
- Where and when is Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva played?
- Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Petah Tikva is played on February 20, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Bloomfield Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.