Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv: prediction and stats
Ligat Ha'alRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Netanya Stadium, Netanya
The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Netanya. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
Hapoel Tel Aviv starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,038 vs 1,896).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maccabi Netanya have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Hapoel Tel Aviv have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bnei Sakhnin(home) | 0-0 | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 0-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Hapoel Petah Tikva(away) | 2-0 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hapoel Ramat Gan(home) | 2-3 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Maccabi Petah Tikva(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atalanta(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona(away) | 2-1 | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| Aug 12, 2026 | GKS Katowice(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | GKS Katowice(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Maccabi Netanya win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Maccabi Netanya 2-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Aug 5, 2025 | Maccabi Netanya 3-0 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Toto Cup Ligat Al |
| May 4, 2024 | Maccabi Netanya 0-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Maccabi Netanya 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv | Ligat Ha'al |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Hapoel Tel Aviv 2-0 Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al |
Last archived meeting: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Netanya on Jan 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Maccabi Netanya score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Hapoel Tel Aviv score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maccabi Netanya | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Hapoel Tel Aviv | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Maccabi Netanya | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv?
- The Footlab model makes Hapoel Tel Aviv the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Maccabi Netanya.
- Where and when is Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv played?
- Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Tel Aviv is played on February 27, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Netanya Stadium, in the Ligat Ha'al.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.