Happy Valley vs Tuen Mun FC: result 7-1 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 30, 2012 at 05:30 AM (UTC)Kowloon Tsai Park - Field 1, Kowloon
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What was the result of Happy Valley vs Tuen Mun FC?
Happy Valley won 7-1 on September 30, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Happy Valley have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tuen Mun FC have 0, 0 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Wing Yee(home) | 2-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Yuen Long(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Wing Yee(home) | 2-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Southern District(away) | 2-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Eastern(home) | 1-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 1-2 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Shatin(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Happy Valley score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tuen Mun FC score 1.0 and concede 3.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Happy Valley | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Tuen Mun FC | 1.0 | 3.7 | 0 | 3/3 | 3/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tuen Mun FC | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 75 | 15 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy