Sham Shui Po vs Shatin: result 1-2 and analysis
HKFA 1st DivisionRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 30, 2012 at 07:15 AM (UTC)Kowloon Tsai Park - Field 1, Kowloon
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What was the result of Sham Shui Po vs Shatin?
Shatin won 1-2 on September 30, 2012.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sham Shui Po have 1 wins, 4 draws and 10 defeats; Shatin have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2012 | Double Flower(away) | 1-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 16, 2012 | Resources Capital(home) | 1-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-6 | HKFA 1st Division |
| May 19, 2012 | BCGS Hong Kong Sapling(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 6, 2012 | Sun Hei(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(home) | 6-0 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Sep 9, 2012 | Tuen Mun FC(away) | 4-1 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 8, 2012 | Hong Kong FC(away) | 0-4 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Apr 1, 2012 | Wing Yee(away) | 4-5 | HKFA 1st Division |
| Mar 18, 2012 | Yuen Long(home) | 1-3 | HKFA 1st Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Sham Shui Po score 0.6 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shatin score 2.7 and concede 2.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sham Shui Po | 0.6 | 1.8 | 1 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Shatin | 2.7 | 2.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sham Shui Po sit 6th in HKFA 1st Division (22 points from 13 matches) and Shatin sit 8th (19 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sham Shui Po | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 22 |
| 8 | Shatin | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy