Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Haras El Hodoud Stadium, Alexandria
The Footlab model makes Haras El Hodood the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Haras El Hodood (1,692) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla (1,628).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Haras El Hodood have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Itesalat(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Ghazl El Mehalla(away) | 2-4 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Petrojet(home) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Kahraba Ismailia(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| May 13, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | El Mansura(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Maleyet Kafr El Zayiat(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Mansura(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | El Dakhleya(away) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Haras El Hodood win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | Haras El Hodood 1-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Second League - Group C |
| Dec 9, 2021 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 3-3 Haras El Hodood | Second League - Group C |
Last archived meeting: Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla on Mar 31, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Haras El Hodood score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 1.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haras El Hodood | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Haras El Hodood sit 2nd in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Baladiyyat Al Mehalla sit 14th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Haras El Hodood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla?
- The Footlab model makes Haras El Hodood the favourite at 41%, against 32% for a draw and 27% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla.
- Where and when is Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla played?
- Haras El Hodood vs Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is played on April 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Haras El Hodoud Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.