Itesalat vs Tersana: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 32Kick-off on April 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WE Al-Ahly Stadium, Cairo
The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Itesalat. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Itesalat vs Tersana?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Itesalat (1,638) and Tersana (1,677).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Itesalat have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Tersana have 3, 9 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(away) | 0-2 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | Masar(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Itesalat win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Tersana win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Tersana 2-2 Itesalat | Second League |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Itesalat 1-0 Tersana | Second League |
| May 10, 2025 | Itesalat 1-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Tersana 0-0 Itesalat | Second League |
| Mar 21, 2023 | Tersana 1-2 Itesalat | Second League - Group B |
| Dec 1, 2022 | Itesalat 3-1 Tersana | Second League - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Itesalat score 0.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Itesalat | 0.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Itesalat sit 19th in Second League (0 points from 1 matches) and Tersana sit 6th (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Itesalat | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Itesalat vs Tersana?
- The Footlab model makes Tersana the favourite at 35%, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Itesalat.
- Where and when is Itesalat vs Tersana played?
- Itesalat vs Tersana is played on April 16, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WE Al-Ahly Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.