Harksheide vs Concordia: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 6Kick-off on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes Harksheide the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Concordia. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harksheide vs Concordia?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Harksheide (1,706) and Concordia (1,612).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harksheide have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Concordia have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HT16(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 16, 2025 | Alsterbrüder(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harksheide win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Concordia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2025 | Harksheide 3-4 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Concordia 4-1 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 17, 2024 | Harksheide 2-2 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Concordia 2-3 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Mar 3, 2023 | Harksheide 1-1 Concordia | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Concordia 2-2 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Harksheide vs Concordia on May 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Harksheide score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Concordia score 1.3 and concede 3.0. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harksheide | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| Concordia | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harksheide vs Concordia?
- The Footlab model makes Harksheide the favourite at 53%, against 21% for a draw and 27% for Concordia.
- Where and when is Harksheide vs Concordia played?
- Harksheide vs Concordia is played on September 4, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.