Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 24Kick-off on February 26, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, Norderstedt
The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Harksheide. The most likely score is 1-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg?
ETSV Hamburg is a heavy favourite: 2,021 Elo points against 1,706 — a 315-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Harksheide have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; ETSV Hamburg have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sasel(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Süderelbe(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Pinneberg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HT16(away) | 4-5 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Concordia(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Tus Dassendorf(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Buchholz(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Harksheide win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 ETSV Hamburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg 11-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Harksheide 1-6 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Dec 6, 2024 | Harksheide 1-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 18, 2024 | ETSV Hamburg 7-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 25, 2024 | ETSV Hamburg 3-0 Harksheide | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 12, 2023 | Harksheide 3-1 ETSV Hamburg | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: ETSV Hamburg vs Harksheide on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Harksheide score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; ETSV Hamburg score 3.6 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 82% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harksheide | 1.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| ETSV Hamburg | 3.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Harksheide sit 11th in Oberliga - Hamburg (45 points from 34 matches) and ETSV Hamburg sit 1st (83 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ETSV Hamburg | 34 | 26 | 5 | 3 | 126 | 27 | 83 |
| 11 | Harksheide | 34 | 14 | 3 | 17 | 65 | 92 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg?
- The Footlab model makes ETSV Hamburg the favourite at 75%, against 14% for a draw and 11% for Harksheide.
- Where and when is Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg played?
- Harksheide vs ETSV Hamburg is played on February 26, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz collatz+schwartz Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 82% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.