Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 24Kick-off on February 28, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC)Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Paloma. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf?
Tus Dassendorf starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (2,056 vs 1,907).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Paloma have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Tus Dassendorf have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Harksheide(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Altona 93(home) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | HEBC(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Paloma win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Tus Dassendorf win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Paloma 1-1 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Tus Dassendorf 3-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Paloma 2-3 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Tus Dassendorf 3-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2024 | Paloma 0-2 Tus Dassendorf | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Tus Dassendorf 1-1 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tus Dassendorf score 2.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Tus Dassendorf | 2.3 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Paloma sit 5th in Oberliga - Hamburg (61 points from 34 matches) and Tus Dassendorf sit 3rd (76 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tus Dassendorf | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 101 | 34 | 76 |
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf?
- The Footlab model makes Tus Dassendorf the favourite at 54%, against 20% for a draw and 25% for Paloma.
- Where and when is Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf played?
- Paloma vs Tus Dassendorf is played on February 28, 2027 at 09:45 AM (UTC) at Jonny Rehbein Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.